Ro Khanna × CAT
Caterpillar Inc (Industrials)
92 Disclosed Trades in a Defense-Adjacent Industrial
Caterpillar is among the largest U.S. manufacturers of heavy equipment used in defense construction, infrastructure, and logistics supply chains. Khanna sits on the House Armed Services Committee, including its Subcommittee on Cyber, Information Technologies, and Innovation, and on the Oversight Committee's technology subcommittee. While Caterpillar's core revenue is commercial, its exposure to federal infrastructure spending, defense logistics, and international trade policy gives it meaningful sensitivity to legislative and executive actions that pass through committees Khanna serves on. Across 92 disclosed trades in this single ticker, the portfolio managed by his wife's trust has maintained a sustained and active position in Caterpillar, a volume that warrants structural scrutiny regardless of individual trade size.
Caterpillar manufactures construction and mining equipment, diesel engines, and industrial turbines sold globally. It is a significant beneficiary of U.S. infrastructure legislation and federal construction contracts, and its export revenues are sensitive to trade policy decisions made in Congress.
Trade-by-trade conflict scoring
Showing the 10 most recent of 92 disclosed trades. Each is scored against five rule-based signals.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's Armed Services and China competition committee roles give him policy visibility into Caterpillar's federal and trade exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 27 days, within both the 30-day internal flag threshold and the 45-day STOCK Act statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $15,001 is approximately 15 times the median trade size of $1,001 for this politician-ticker pair.
- Member Cluster: Three members disclosed Caterpillar trades within the same 14-day window, meeting the cluster threshold.
This April 2025 sell of $15,001 stands out against the surrounding pattern of minimal-bracket trades in this portfolio. At roughly 15 times the median transaction size for Caterpillar in this account, it represents a deliberate sizing decision rather than routine rebalancing activity. The trade was filed within 27 days, comfortably inside both internal and statutory thresholds. Notably, two other members also disclosed Caterpillar activity within the same 14-day window, triggering the member cluster signal. Caterpillar's revenues are sensitive to U.S.-China trade dynamics and federal infrastructure spending, both areas where Khanna's committee assignments, including the Select Committee on Strategic Competition with China, provide legislative visibility. Across 92 disclosed trades in this ticker, the account has maintained a consistent and active position. The combination of outsized size and member clustering in this single transaction makes it one of the higher-signal trades in the recent window.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's China competition and Armed Services roles intersect with Caterpillar's trade and defense procurement exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 22 days, well within the 30-day internal flag threshold and the 45-day statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Purchase of $1,001 equals the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, consistent with routine activity.
- Member Cluster: Three members disclosed Caterpillar trades within the same 14-day window, meeting the clustering threshold.
This May 2025 buy of $1,001 is a minimum-bracket transaction, consistent with the majority of Caterpillar trades in this account. The disclosure was filed 22 days after the transaction, well within both the internal 30-day flag threshold and the 45-day STOCK Act window. Despite the modest size, the member cluster signal fires: two additional members reported Caterpillar activity within the same 14-day window. Cluster signals at the minimum trade size can reflect broad market-driven behavior among institutional-style congressional portfolios, but they remain structurally notable when the ticker has policy sensitivity. Caterpillar's exposure to tariff escalation and U.S.-China trade tensions in mid-2025 is relevant context given Khanna's seat on the Select Committee on Strategic Competition with China. Taken alone, this trade carries limited analytical weight. Set against 92 total disclosures in this ticker and the clustering pattern, it contributes to a broader picture of sustained, active engagement with the position.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's committee roles touching defense procurement and U.S.-China competition are relevant to Caterpillar's policy exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 16 days, comfortably within both the 30-day internal threshold and the 45-day statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Purchase of $1,001 matches the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, no size anomaly present.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This June 23, 2025 buy of $1,001 is a standard minimum-bracket transaction with no size, timing, or clustering anomalies. The disclosure was filed 16 days after the trade date, prompt by any measure. No other members appear in the cluster window for this date. The trade is one of several buys in the June-to-July 2025 window within this account, suggesting incremental position building or dollar-cost averaging activity by the trust managing the portfolio. Khanna has publicly stated he does not direct the trades and that the account is managed by his wife's trust. At the individual trade level, this transaction presents the lowest signal density of any in the recent window. However, the context of 92 total disclosed trades in Caterpillar and the committee overlap with sectors sensitive to trade and infrastructure policy means the aggregate pattern remains a point of structural interest, even when individual transactions are unremarkable.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's Armed Services and China competition committee roles provide policy proximity to Caterpillar's key revenue and regulatory drivers.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 12 days, well within both the 30-day internal flag threshold and the 45-day STOCK Act deadline.
- Unusually Large: Buy of $15,001 is approximately 15 times the median $1,001 transaction size for this politician-ticker pair.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This June 27, 2025 buy of $15,001 is the second outsized transaction in this recent window, pairing with the April 2025 sell of the same bracket to suggest the trust is actively sizing its Caterpillar position rather than simply maintaining a passive holding. The trade was disclosed within 12 days, one of the fastest filings in the reviewed set. No member cluster signal fires here. The unusually large signal, at roughly 15 times the median trade size, is the primary flag. Coming just four days after the $1,001 buy on June 23, the sequence suggests a layered entry strategy. Caterpillar was navigating trade policy headwinds and infrastructure spending uncertainty in mid-2025, both areas where Khanna's committee assignments, particularly on the China competition select committee, are directly relevant. Across 92 total disclosures, the occasional emergence of $15,001-bracket trades alongside a baseline of minimum-bracket activity is a recurring structural feature worth tracking.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's committee roles on defense and China competition policy intersect with Caterpillar's government and trade revenue exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed exactly at 30 days, at the internal flag threshold but within the 45-day STOCK Act statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 matches the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, no size anomaly detected.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This July 8, 2025 sell of $1,001 carries minimal individual signal weight. The transaction is at the minimum bracket and was filed exactly at the 30-day internal monitoring threshold, though it remains within the 45-day STOCK Act statutory window and does not constitute a late disclosure under that standard. No size or cluster signals fire. The trade comes roughly 11 days after the $15,001 buy on June 27, suggesting the trust may have trimmed a small portion of the recently added position. This buy-then-partial-sell sequence within a short window is a recurring behavioral pattern in this account's Caterpillar activity. Individually, this trade is low-signal. In the context of 92 total disclosures and the structural committee overlap between Khanna's assignments and Caterpillar's policy-sensitive revenue streams, the cumulative pattern of frequent, active trading remains the primary analytical interest rather than any single minimum-bracket transaction.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's Armed Services and China competition roles are relevant to Caterpillar's defense and trade policy exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 14 days, well within both the 30-day internal flag threshold and the 45-day statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 is at the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, presenting no size anomaly.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar activity in this 14-day window, below the clustering threshold of three.
This July 24, 2025 sell of $1,001 is the second small-bracket Caterpillar sale in a roughly 16-day span following the July 8 sale. Both were filed in the same disclosure batch on August 7, suggesting the trust periodically batches filings for multiple transactions rather than filing each individually closer to the trade date. This batching behavior is common in congressional disclosures and does not itself constitute a late filing, as both trades were disclosed within the 45-day statutory window. No size or cluster signals are present. The sequence of the June 27 buy followed by two July sells in quick succession reinforces the pattern of active, short-horizon position management in Caterpillar. Across 92 total disclosures, the Caterpillar position appears to be traded with a frequency and tactical cadence that goes well beyond a passive long-term holding, making the aggregate pattern the primary lens for evaluation.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's committee assignments touching defense procurement and U.S.-China trade policy are structurally relevant to Caterpillar.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 36 days, exceeding Kapitol's 30-day internal flag threshold, though still within the 45-day STOCK Act statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 equals the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, presenting no size anomaly.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar activity in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This August 4, 2025 sell of $1,001 triggers the late disclosure flag, having been filed 36 days after the transaction date. This exceeds Kapitol's 30-day internal monitoring threshold and is therefore flagged for review. However, the 36-day delay remains inside the 45-day statutory deadline set by the STOCK Act, meaning no legal violation applies. The trade was disclosed on September 9, 2025. No size or cluster signals are present. This is the only late-flagged disclosure among the 10 most recent trades in the dataset, and at minimum bracket size it carries limited economic significance on its own. It does continue the pattern of periodic batched filings observed in the July trades. Across 92 total disclosures in Caterpillar, occasional delays to the 30-to-36-day range appear to be a feature of how this trust manages its filing cadence, a pattern worth tracking cumulatively even when individual instances remain within legal bounds.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's Armed Services and China competition committee roles remain relevant to Caterpillar's ongoing policy and trade exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 14 days, well within the 30-day internal threshold and the 45-day STOCK Act statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 matches the median trade size, presenting no size anomaly for this politician-ticker pair.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This October 23, 2025 sell of $1,001 is a minimum-bracket transaction filed promptly at 14 days, with no size, cluster, or disclosure timing signals. It is one of two Caterpillar sells filed in the same disclosure batch on November 6, the other being the October 27 sell. The batched filing approach is consistent with prior behavior in this account and keeps both trades well within statutory timelines. At the individual level, this trade has the lowest signal density possible in the dataset. Its analytical relevance derives entirely from its place within a much larger pattern: across 92 total disclosed trades in Caterpillar, the account has maintained consistent two-way trading activity across multiple years. Khanna's committee assignments, particularly the Select Committee on Strategic Competition with China, are directly relevant to Caterpillar's revenue exposure given the company's significant China operations and sensitivity to tariff and export control decisions.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Caterpillar's China revenue and defense contracting exposure intersect with Khanna's China competition and Armed Services committee roles.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 10 days, one of the fastest disclosures in the reviewed set, well within all thresholds.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 is at the median transaction size, presenting no size anomaly for this politician-ticker pair.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This October 27, 2025 sell of $1,001 was disclosed just 10 days after the trade date, the fastest filing in the 10-trade review window. It was batch-filed alongside the October 23 sell on November 6. No size, cluster, or late disclosure signals are present. The rapid disclosure turnaround is notable in the context of the broader account pattern, where some filings approach the 30-to-36-day range. At the individual level, this trade carries minimal analytical weight. The two October sells together represent routine position trimming activity at minimum bracket size. The consistent committee overlap signal across all trades in this window reflects the structural reality that Khanna sits on committees with meaningful policy jurisdiction over areas that directly affect Caterpillar's business: defense infrastructure spending, U.S.-China trade relations, and government procurement. This structural proximity, rather than any single trade, is the core analytical point across the 92-trade history.
Why each signal fired or did not
- Committee Overlap: Khanna's China competition and defense committee roles retain structural relevance to Caterpillar's trade and procurement exposure.
- Pre-Vote Timing: Vote calendar data not yet ingested for this dataset.
- Late Disclosure: Filed after 13 days, well within both the 30-day internal flag threshold and the 45-day STOCK Act statutory deadline.
- Unusually Large: Sale of $1,001 matches the median trade size for this politician-ticker pair, no size anomaly present.
- Member Cluster: Only one member disclosed Caterpillar trades in this 14-day window, below the three-member clustering threshold.
This November 25, 2025 sell of $1,001 is the most recent of the 10 reviewed trades and the most recent of 92 total disclosed Caterpillar transactions in this account. Filed 13 days after the trade date, it is prompt by all applicable standards. No size, cluster, or late disclosure signals are present. As a standalone trade it is unremarkable. Its significance, like many of the minimum-bracket transactions in this dataset, is primarily contextual: it is the latest data point in a multi-year pattern of sustained, active trading in a company whose revenue profile intersects with policy domains under Khanna's direct committee oversight. Caterpillar's China business, its sensitivity to U.S. infrastructure and defense spending, and its exposure to tariff and export control decisions all connect to Khanna's three committee assignments in ways that make the cumulative 92-trade pattern the most structurally interesting feature of this politician-ticker pairing, regardless of any individual transaction's modest size.
Between Apr 15, 2025 and Nov 25, 2025, Ro Khanna bought $17K and sold $21K of CAT across 10 disclosed transactions. 10% (1 of 10) were filed past the 30-day STOCK Act window, and 20% (2 of 10) were unusually large relative to Ro Khanna's historical median trade size.
Across the remaining 82 disclosed CAT trades between May 2, 2017 and Apr 9, 2025, Ro Khanna bought $211K and sold $158K of CAT. 37% (30 of 82) were filed past the 30-day STOCK Act window, and 22% (18 of 82) sat above twice Ro Khanna's historical median trade size.
Late-filing and unusual-size flags are computed deterministically from the underlying disclosure columns. Per-trade narratives, committee overlap, and member-cluster scoring are restricted to the 10 most recent transactions above.
Scoring methodology
Every trade in the public dataset is scored against five rule-based signals. The score is auditable, not AI-guessed. AI is used only to write the analyst note, never to decide whether a signal fired.
- Committee Overlap (+3): politician sat on a committee overseeing the company's sector at the time of the trade.
- Pre-Vote Timing (+3 / +2): politician voted on legislation directly affecting the company within 30 (+3) or 60 (+2) days of the trade.
- Late Disclosure (+2): filing arrived more than 30 days after the trade (STOCK Act allows 45).
- Unusually Large (+1): position size sits above the politician's own historical baseline.
- Member Cluster (+2): three or more members bought the same ticker within a 14-day window.
Score bands: Low (0-1), Medium (2-3), High (4-5), Critical (6+).
You just read about old trades. Hundreds more are disclosed every month.
The same scoring you just saw, applied to every Congress trade as it hits the wire. Members are still trading. You're still not seeing it in time.